Monday, August 20, 2007

New Disturbance in the North Atlantic



At the time of this writing, the Mariners 1-2-3 Chart is showing a new disturbance in the North Atlantic east of Florida and the Bahamas. The chart is live and is continuously updated by the National Hurricane Center so I do not know if this will remain as an active system on the chart or not. The last disturbance was dropped from the chart a day before it became T. S. Erin.

Based on the forward speed indicated, it appears that this is a slow moving system. With the warm ocean water temperatures, such a slow moving system is likely, IMO, to develop further into a depression or even a tropical storm.


000
ABNT20 KNHC 201511
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
DEAN...CENTERED ABOUT 385 MILES EAST OF BELIZE CITY.

1. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A FEW
HUNDRED MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME


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