Gulf Coast Hurricane Tracker

A single source reference on tropical weather predictions. With a traditional focus on the upper Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast we've maintained links to track all Atlantic Basin, Caribbean and eastern Pacific storm systems. We are now expanding our view to tropical storms throughout the world intending to be a comprehensive global storm tracking resource.

Friday, December 08, 2006

Looking ahead to 2007

The 2006 hurricane season has just finished and already we are starting to see predictions for next year. This article (H/T Drudge Report), predicts the same type of season for 07 that had been originally predicted for 06. This is certainly reasonable considering that we are in a period of high tropical activity in the Atlantic. We need to be prepared for several years of high activity before we see a drop off.

"Based on current and projected climate signals, Atlantic basin and US landfalling tropical cyclone activity are forecast to be 60 percent above the 1950-2006 norm in 2007," said Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), a London-based consortium.

"There is a high (around 80 percent) likelihood that activity will be in the top one-third of years historically," it added in its press release.

It gave the rough forecast of more than 15 tropical storms, of which nearly nine would be hurricanes, and nearly four intense hurricanes.



Trackbacked to: Dumb Ox News, Woman Honor Thyself, 123 Beta


posted by Veritas | 6:02 PM

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Name: Kenneth Russell
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I am a chemical engineer with 20+ years of experience in polymerization and polymer processing. I consider weather systems and climate science fascinating. Incomplete computer models are being used to justify public policy that is thinly disguised redistribution of wealth. My intent is to shed light on the science of climate change and the facts that the Sun is the primary driver and that current temps are within normal variation. All opinions expressed here are those of the author and are his exclusive property. If you want to use my work, please credit my blog and include a link.

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