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Monday, June 04, 2007

Once again - if the same effect is seen in two places...

If the same effect is found to exist in two or more places that are connected by a common factor, then it is likely that the cause of that effect is common to both or all.

Investor's Business Daily (Hat Tip published a report last week discussing Global Warming on Neptune.
In a study recently published in Geophysical Research Letters, H.B. Hammel of the Space Science Institute in Boulder, Colo., and G.W. Lockwood of Lowell Observatory in Flagstaff, Ariz., found that Neptune's brightness appears to correlate with temperature changes on Earth. They also noted that Neptune's temperature warmed from 1980 to 2004.

"If changing brightnesses and temperatures of two different planets are correlated, then some planetary climate changes may be due to variations in the solar system environment," they write in their abstract.
I discussed a similar effect with regard to Mars over this past winter. Mars is also experiencing Global Warming as evidenced by the melting of its southern ice cap. That post was meant more to poke some fun but the overriding theory here is that changes in the intensity of the Sun is the primary driver in the climate changes we are seeing on Mars and also on Earth. Now similar climate changes can be seen on Neptune.

"The long-term increase in solar irradiance is heating both Earth and Mars," is the conclusion of Habibullo Abdussamatov, head of St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia.

That quotation appeared in a story on National Geographic's Web site written in February by Kate Ravilious, who, for some reason, thought Abdussamatov's explanation is controversial.

It makes perfect sense to us, though, that a warmer sun would increase temperatures on the planets within its system. Solar influence would be controversial only to those who refuse to believe that there might be other possibilities outside the theory that man is warming the planet with his carbon dioxide emissions.

This is the baffling point. The potential that measurable changes in the intensity of the Sun could cause climate changes on Earth should not be controversial at all. That it is happening simultaneously with other planets in the solar system should be an indication that there is a real cause and effect scenario here. Yet the alarmists all want to point to man made CO2 "emissions". Well it has to be human induced because that is the only way we can drive an agenda.

You know folks... it is the obvious agenda... the one where increases in taxes, shutting down of industry, reducing standards of living is what makes this political.

Abdussamatov is not a lone voice in supposing that solar activity is a likely cause of global temperature change. Astrophysicists Sallie Baliunas and Willie Soon have been telling us this for years.

"We're not saying that variations in solar activity account for all of the global rise in temperature that we are experiencing," Soon said in 1997. "But we believe these variations are the major driving force. Heat-trapping gases emitted by smokestacks and vehicles — the so-called greenhouse effect — appear to be secondary."

Yes, theirs is only a theory. But so is the assertion that man is causing the planet to warm. The latter theory just happens to be more widely known, thanks to those who have an irrational, unquestioning faith in it and a self-righteous press eager to ally itself with the environmental movement.

NASA administrator Michael Griffin is correct in questioning the urgency of Global Warming. (NPR) Several factors contribute to climate change on this planet. That we see similar changes on other planets lends credence to theories that contradict the full court press on anthropogenic global warming. We have to look at all the factors and compare the expected effects with data. Models are good for predictions and estimations but they must be confirmed with data. None of the climate change models have successfully predicted the amount of warming over a 1 -5 year period let alone predicting 100 years out into the future.

BTW: Pluto was also experiencing planetary warming in 2002. ( Could there be a connection to the other planets in our solar system heating up? Probably not but with Earth, Mars and Neptune all showing similar warming trends, the commonalities are solar output and cosmic radiation, not human produced CO2.

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