The fact is that both knee jerk reactions are wrong. You cannot look at any one season or any one hurricane (as Al Gore does with Katrina in his movie) and drawn conclusions that global warming is or is not the cause. A very recognizable cycle of storms occurs in the Atlantic, the multidecadal cycle, so that negates much of any perceived effect of global warming on the hurricane cycle in the Atlantic.
As far as I know, there is no such cycle in the Pacific but I would be very interested to learn what causal factors occur in Pacific storms and if there is a connection (or inverse correlation) of the Atlantic activity with the Pacific activity.
We have to continue to remind ourselves that climate is the long term effect of the weather. Any affect of climate change will be seen over a very long time range and cannot be pointed to as the couse of one bad storm or even a single bad season.
Trackbacked to: Dumb Ox News, Woman Honor Thyself