Gulf Coast Hurricane Tracker

A single source reference on tropical weather predictions. With a traditional focus on the upper Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast we've maintained links to track all Atlantic Basin, Caribbean and eastern Pacific storm systems. We are now expanding our view to tropical storms throughout the world intending to be a comprehensive global storm tracking resource.

Sunday, August 20, 2006

Scientists disagee on link between Storms and Warming

Another reference showing that the so-called concensus on global warming, especially the effect of global warming on hurricane number and intensity. The low number of hurricanes in the Atlantic so far this season provides an easy target for debunkers to point to that says that the theory is wrong. Of course alarmists point to last year's bad season or the high number of storms in the Pacific as proof of the connection of global warming.

The fact is that both knee jerk reactions are wrong. You cannot look at any one season or any one hurricane (as Al Gore does with Katrina in his movie) and drawn conclusions that global warming is or is not the cause. A very recognizable cycle of storms occurs in the Atlantic, the multidecadal cycle, so that negates much of any perceived effect of global warming on the hurricane cycle in the Atlantic.

As far as I know, there is no such cycle in the Pacific but I would be very interested to learn what causal factors occur in Pacific storms and if there is a connection (or inverse correlation) of the Atlantic activity with the Pacific activity.

We have to continue to remind ourselves that climate is the long term effect of the weather. Any affect of climate change will be seen over a very long time range and cannot be pointed to as the couse of one bad storm or even a single bad season.

Trackbacked to: Dumb Ox News, Woman Honor Thyself

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