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Wednesday, April 23, 2008

We are seeing more warnings about Cooling

Here is another story warning about Global Cooling due to a lack of sunspot activity.

Sunspot activity has not resumed up after hitting an 11-year low in March last year, raising fears that — far from warming — the globe is about to return to an Ice Age, says an Australian-American scientist.

Physicist Phil Chapman, the first native-born Australian to become an astronaut with NASA [he became an American citizen to join up, though he never went into space], said pictures from the U.S. Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) showed no spots on the sun.

He said the world cooled quickly between January last year and January this year, by about 0.7 degrees Centigrade."This is the fastest temperature change in the instrumental record, and it puts us back to where we were in 1930," Chapman wrote in The Australian Wednesday. "If the temperature does not soon recover, we will have to conclude that global warming is over."

We are seeing more and more reports regarding the threat of Global Cooling and even an impending Ice Age. The global warming alarmists right away jump to their usual claim that the data is being "cherry-picked" while discounting the effect that the sun has on our environment.

The next few years will be very interesting because we are about to live through a world scale experiment. Radical environmentalists have been using inaccurate computer models to make claims that public policy needs to change. I am an advocate of modeling - keeping in mind that if the model cannot predict the current, observed results of a process, then it is not accurate and is not legitimate in predicting future trends. The next few years we will live the effects of the low sunspot activity. A real life experiment that will prove just how much the sun affects our climate is underway. Not a computer simulation, not a calculated effect, a real life experiment.

Cooling is a real concern - more people die from excessive cold each year than from excessive heat. Warmer temperatures increase the growing season, cooler temperatures shorten it. We have technology for irrigation, desalination of sea water, flood protection. Once the temperatures drop, real climate effects can cause serious problems.

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