TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ISAAC

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2012 9:00 GMT

 

Tropical Storm ISAAC (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

 

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    New Orleans (30.0 N, 90.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Mobile (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Jackson (32.3 N, 90.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Meridian (32.4 N, 88.7 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.