Graphic courtesy of Weather Underground
Tropical Cyclone Four has developed in the Arabian Sea near Mumbai Monday night local time. Sustained winds are at 35 knots indicates that this system is currently a minimal tropical storm. Tropical Storm Watch (TSR) is forecasting that this storm will strengthen over the next one to two days followed by a gradual decrease in strength after making landfall near Ahmadabad.
Government of India
Ministry of Earth Sciences
India Meteorological Department
Latest satellite and coastal observations indicate that a depression has formed over the southeast and adjoining east central Arabian Sea and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 9th November, 2009 near Lat. 11.00 N and Long. 72.00 E, about 70 km west of Amini Divi , 370 km southwest of Mangalore and 550 km south-southwest of Goa. The system is likely to intensify into a deep depression during next 24 hours and move in a north-northwesterly direction initially. Thereafter, it may move northward and then north-northeastward and cross south Gujarat coast as a depression during early morning of 12th November 2009.
Under its influence, rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places is likely over Kerala, coastal Karnataka and Lakshadweep during next 48 hours. Rainfall at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places is also likely over Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharastra commencing from tomorrow and over south Gujarat and west Madhya Pradesh from 11th November 2009 onwards.
Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph are likely along and off Kerala and Karnataka coasts and over Lakshadweep area during next 48 hours. Sea condition will be rough to very rough over Lakshadweep area and along and off these coasts. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Sea along and off these coasts.
Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph gusting to 65 kmph are also likely along and off Konkon & Goa and south Gujarat coasts commencing from 10th and 11th November 2009 respectively for subsequent 48 hrs. Sea condition will be rough to very rough along and off these coasts. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Sea along and off these coasts.