Gulf Coast Hurricane Tracker

A single source reference on tropical weather predictions. With a traditional focus on the upper Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast we've maintained links to track all Atlantic Basin, Caribbean and eastern Pacific storm systems. We are now expanding our view to tropical storms throughout the world intending to be a comprehensive global storm tracking resource.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Fwd: TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane BILL

Storm Alert issued at 23 Aug, 2009 9:00 GMT
 
Hurricane BILL is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
 
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Canada
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    St John's (47.6 N, 52.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Wales
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    England
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 35% within 9 hours
    the Isle of Man
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours
    Fishguard (51.9 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Lands End (50.1 N, 5.6 W)
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Holyhead (53.3 N, 4.5 W)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

|

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home

2010 Atlantic Hurricanes (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)

NOAA Gulf of Mexico Radar (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)

NOAA West Atlantic & Caribbean Radar (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)

NOAA East Atlantic Radar (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)