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Monday, September 14, 2009

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOPPU

I am in Europe on business this week and have not been abnle to keep up with all of the tropical situations around the world. Typhoon Koppu was TD #16 which passed over the Phillipines this past weekend. According the CNN World News (the first US news I've seen since Sept 6) this storm resulted in severe flooding and loss of life. I don't know the detaisl but it was the third tropical depression in the Asia Pacific region that resulted in loss of life and heavy damage.
 

 
Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2009 18:00 GMT
 
Typhoon KOPPU is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
 
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

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