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Thursday, August 27, 2009

Danny weakens slightly; becomes disorganized

Tropical Storm Danny has weakened some with sustained wind speed dropping from 60 MPH to 50 MPH this evening. Additionally, Danny's organization has become much more ragged. The storm center is exposed which frequently is a sign that the storm is being torn apart.

Danny struggling southeast of the US (Weather Channel)

Tropical Storm Danny located well northeast of the Bahamas remains poorly rganized with the circulation totally exposed and all the thunderstorms off to the east of the circulation.

As of 8 p.m. Thursday, the center of circulation for Danny was located 515 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, NC. Top winds are 50 mph.

Danny continues to struggle in a hostile environment. Danny is temporarily (moving) north near 6 mph and should continue moving in this direction Friday into Saturday as an upper-level trough deepens over the Central U.S.

--snip--

There remains a lot of uncertainty with the forecast track of Danny, and any slight deviation in track or change in the intensity early on could greatly alter the forecasts; this will determine if gusty winds and heavier squalls impact parts of the New England Coasts.

Based on the current forecast information, Danny could potentially make its closest approach to the Outer Banks Friday evening and make a closer approach to eastern New England Saturday evening before exiting into the Canadian Maritimes becoming extra-tropical.

It is possible that rain a gusty winds could impact eastern New England on Saturday.

As a result of these latest developments, at the moment Danny is not predicted to reach hurricane status. With the warm waters that could change but right now it may even be questionable just how well Danny stays together as a tropical storm.

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