Gulf Coast Hurricane Tracker

A single source reference on tropical weather predictions. With a traditional focus on the upper Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast we've maintained links to track all Atlantic Basin, Caribbean and eastern Pacific storm systems. We are now expanding our view to tropical storms throughout the world intending to be a comprehensive global storm tracking resource.

Friday, August 28, 2009

Fwd: TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DANNY

Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2009 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DANNY is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Canada
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
St. Pierre and Miquelon
probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
the United States
probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Grand Falls (48.6 N, 55.4 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
St John's (47.6 N, 52.7 W)
probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 40% in about 21 hours
Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

2010 Atlantic Hurricanes (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)

NOAA Gulf of Mexico Radar (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)

NOAA West Atlantic & Caribbean Radar (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)

NOAA East Atlantic Radar (courtesy of Weatherstreet.com)