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Saturday, August 29, 2009

Tropical Storm Krovanh on course for Tokyo

Tropical Storm Krovanh is expected to turn to the north as it heads towards the southern Japanese coast. When the turn to the north and the the north-east occurs will determine how severely the storm affects land.

Tropical Troubles For Tokyo (AccuWeather)
The storm is now expected to head northwest over the next 24-48 hours, taking the center of the storm close to central Honshu near Tokyo on Sunday night or Monday morning.

The storm is expected to make an eventual turn to the north and northeast. The exact timing of this shift in track will determine whether or not Krovanh will make landfall in Japan. Regardless of whether or not landfall takes place, strong gusty winds and heavy rain are possible across central and northern Honshu on Sunday and Monday. This includes the city of Tokyo.

With very warm waters in its path and light wind shear over the system, Krovanh should strengthen into a typhoon on Saturday and remain a typhoon Monday. The strongest winds and heaviest rain are likely on Sunday night and Monday morning across central Honshu and around Tokyo. Wind and rain will spread northward across Honshu on Monday before the storm heads back out to sea. Localized flooding will occur as the storm will produce 4-8 inches of rain in some areas. Even if Krovanh passes east of Tokyo, winds may be strong enough to cause some damage.

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