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Wednesday, September 02, 2009

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane JIMENA

Hurricane Jimena is making its way across Baja California. Here is the latest strike probabilities from Tropical Storm Risk.

Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2009 21:00 GMT
 
Hurricane JIMENA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
 
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guaymas (28.0 N, 111.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Punta Prieta (29.0 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for TS is 40% within 9 hours
    Hermosillo (29.1 N, 111.0 W)
        probability for TS is 35% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

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